South Asia

Monthly political risk, economic forecasts and business environment analysis on each country market

Latest South Asia Analysis

Economic Analysis - Growth Downgraded But Construction Outlook Still Positive - AUG 2017

We now expect Sri Lanka's real GDP growth to come in at 4.3% in 2017 (from 5.0% previously), before recovering to 4.9% in 2018, as adverse weather conditions are likely to have a lasting negative impact on the economy. We remain positive on both the construction and export manufacturing industries, but note that risks are weighted to the downside with regards to the latter.

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Economic Analysis - Political Climate To Weigh On Infrastructure Development Plans - JUNE 2017

While Nepal's plans to establish a PPP centre to facilitate PPP projects bode well for the country's infrastructure development over the long term, the fractious political climate will continue to undermine its establishment and development in the near term. With progress on the centre being slow, we expect the poor investment climate to continue to weigh and maintain our real GDP forecast for...

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Economic Analysis - Vision 2030 Implementation To Prove Difficult - MAY 2017

The laying out of Nepal's Vision 2030 is a positive step as it provides policymakers with a roadmap for the landlocked country's economic development. However, we expect implementation to be slow due to considerable challenges including an underdeveloped agriculture sector and political gridlock. We therefore maintain our forecast for Nepal's long-term growth to average 3.0% over the next...

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