South Asia

Monthly political risk, economic forecasts and business environment analysis on each country market

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South Asia

Latest South Asia Analysis

Risk Summary - Pakistan - DEC 2014

Tehran and Islamabad have summoned each others' envoys after reports of gunfights and incursions across the border. On Oct. 17, Pakistani officials claimed that 30 Iranian guards in six vehicles started shooting at a vehicle carrying members of the Pakistani Frontier Corps, two miles inside Pakistan's border. Iran and Pakistan have increasingly become more hostile toward each other due to...

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Political Risk Analysis - Government To Deal With Military To End Protests - OCT 2014

BMI View: Pakistan's Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif will withstand calls for his resignation by Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) leader Imran Khan and cleric Tahir-ul-Qadri. However, the protests have weakened his authority, and an end to the demonstrations is likely to come as part of a deal with the powerful military elite to relinquish Sharif's control of foreign affairs, which will undermine...

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Business Environment Analysis - Positive Steps Despite No Drastic Liberalisation Plans - SEPT 2014

Political and bureaucratic hurdles will remain key obstacles to progress in India's business environment, preventing the newly-elected Bharatiya Janata Party-led government from implementing any drastic shifts to liberalise the market in the first few years of its term. That said, we believe the government will continue to take small steps in the right direction, especially in attempt to dampen...

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Risk Summary - India - SEPT 2014

We note that growing tension between minority parties such as the Shiv Sena and the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) within the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA) will likely slow down the...

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Risk Summary - Pakistan - SEPT 2014

Pakistan's oil ministry has proposed fresh talks with Iran in order to secure more time to complete the Pakistani section of the Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline, reports IRNA, citing Iran's deputy oil...

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Risk Summary - India - AUG 2014

In addition to inviting leaders of regional South Asian countries to his inauguration, Prime Minister Narendra Modi from the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has been proactive in strengthening...

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