BLOG: Risk Watchdog

Updated daily by key members of Business Monitor International's Country Risk team, The Risk Watchdog blog gives you up-to-date insight and comment from our analysts around the world, covering global financial markets, economic analysis and political risk.

 

Asia
Country risk analysis, forecasts, rankings, industry research and competitive intelligence on leading companies, covering 22 markets across the Asia region
Business Forecast Reports
- $765
Read More Australia Business Forecast Report
61 pages ISSN: 1479-6155    Pub date: 26 September 2008     Quarterly
Entering A Period Of Economic Weakness The outlook for Australia’s economy has deteriorated in recent months, with the onset of the anticipated slowdown manifesting itself in the second quarter national accounts. Q208 GDP performance was the weakest in more than three years, with growth ...
- $765
Read More Bangladesh Business Forecast Report
53 pages ISSN: 1757-7764    Pub date: 30 September 2008     Quarterly
A Pivotal Period Ahead Bangladesh is facing a pivotal period, both politically and economically. While the country has the potential to become a major emerging market over the coming years, following in the footsteps of neighbouring India, with which it shares several similarities, it also faces considerabl...
- $765
Read More China Business Forecast Report
67 pages ISSN: 1470-7381    Pub date: 22 August 2008     Quarterly
Rising Risk Of Policy Missteps A weaker-than-anticipated first half of the year has prompted us to revise down our 2008 growth forecast for China from 10.7% to 10.1%. Moreover, with China’s most recent boom period seemingly over, we are now expecting real GDP growth to continu...
- $765
Read More Hong Kong Business Forecast Report
63 pages ISSN: 1479-6058    Pub date: 22 August 2008     Quarterly
Economy Facing Mounting Challenges Although Hong Kong will hold Legislative Council (LegCo) elections on September 7 2008, full democracy is still a distant prospect (Beijing has ruled out universal suffrage until 2017 for the Chief Executive and 2020 for the LegCo at the earliest), and with sev...
- $765
Read More India Business Forecast Report
74 pages ISSN: 1479-6031    Pub date: 30 October 2008     Quarterly
Political Turbulence And Inflation To Weigh On Growth India’s macroeconomic woes are mounting as global commodity prices have helped push inflation into double digits amid growing indications of slowing growth. The sharp rise in inflation has caused headaches for the Reserve Bank of India as well ...
- $765
Read More Indonesia Business Forecast Report
65 pages ISSN: 1470-7403    Pub date: 26 September 2008     Quarterly
Economic Issues To Shape 2009 Elections Real GDP growth in Indonesia remained strong in the first half of 2008 as domestic demand continued to hold up well and record-high commodity prices helped to boost the performance of the country’s export sector. However, we highlight that d...
- $765
Read More Japan Business Forecast Report
10 pages ISSN: 1479-621X    Pub date: 3 November 2008     Quarterly
Prime Minister Yasuo Fukuda faces considerable political and economic challenges in Q308, that could prompt the demise of his administration. The main opposition Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ), which controls the Upper House, is pushing for an early general election, which we believe could take place in 2008. However, it ...
- $765
Read More Malaysia Business Forecast Report
66 pages ISSN: 1470-739X    Pub date: 30 October 2008     Quarterly
Political Uncertainty Dictating Play While the recent robust momentum of economic growth should help keep real GDP expansion well-supported, we are still expecting expansion to continue to moderate throughout the remainder of 2008. Malaysia’s economy retained its strong growth impetus in Q108, slo...
- $765
Read More New Zealand Business Forecast Report
9 pages    Pub date: 5 September 2008     Quarterly
National Looks Set To Win We are maintaining our view that New Zealand’s Labour party will be denied a fourth consecutive term, and the National Party will win the majority of votes. Indeed, if anything, the case has swung further in National’s favour, despite some minor relief in the ...
- $765
Read More Pakistan Business Forecast Report
68 pages ISSN: 1479-6201    Pub date: 30 October 2008     Quarterly
Scope For More Turbulence The transition from military to civilian rule has not been as smooth as hoped for, with dark clouds on both the political and economic horizon. The civilian government faces daunting challenges in stabilising the wobbly economy, while trying to avert more...
- $765
Read More Philippines Business Forecast Report
65 pages ISSN: 1474-1407    Pub date: 26 September 2008     Quarterly
Problems Continue To Mount On All Fronts We have been forced to significantly revise down our 2008 growth forecast for the Philippines after Q208 GDP data revealed that the economy grew by just 4.6% y-o-y, and Q108 growth was revised down from 5.2% to 4.7%. Having retained a still...
- $765
Read More Singapore Business Forecast Report
66 pages ISSN: 1479-6147    Pub date: 30 October 2008     Quarterly
Second Half Of 2008 Threatens To Disappoint A downward revision to Q108 growth figures together with expectations of a poor result for Q208 have led us to revise down our forecasts for real GDP growth in Singapore, to 3.9% in 2008 (from 5.9% previously) and 4.5% in 2009 (from 5.2%...
- $765
Read More South Korea Business Forecast Report
71 pages ISSN: 1479-6082    Pub date: 26 September 2008     Quarterly
Choppy Waters Ahead We foresee continued turmoil for South Korea as beleaguered President Lee Myung-bak seeks to push through pro-growth policies in the face of a deteriorating macroeconomic backdrop. While the proposed tax cuts and deregulation measures should boost growth in the...
- $765
Read More Sri Lanka Business Forecast Report
57 pages ISSN: 1746-580X    Pub date: 30 September 2008     Quarterly
An Island Facing Mounting Challenges Sri Lanka’s economy has proved highly resilient to the ongoing civil war, having expanded by 6.8% in 2007, but we are forecasting a slowdown to 6.0% in 2008, as the island nation suffers from record high oil prices and inflation, and weaker gro...
- $765
Read More Taiwan Business Forecast Report
65 pages ISSN: 1479-6252    Pub date: 26 September 2008     Quarterly
Economy To Remain Shaky In Q408 The going is clearly getting tougher for President Ma Ying-jeou and his Kuomintang (KMT) government, as evidenced by street protests in Taipei at the end of August. Subdued business and consumer sentiment coupled with weakening global demand will li...
- $765
Read More Thailand Business Forecast Report
67 pages ISSN: 1474-1415    Pub date: 22 August 2008     Quarterly
Political Uncertainty And Inflation To Constrain Economy The political and economic outlook in Thailand will remain somewhat parlous, with anti-government sentiment still sizzling and inflation at a decade-high. The government suffered numerous blows over the summer, in the form o...
- $765
Read More Vietnam Business Forecast Report
65 pages ISSN: 1474-1423    Pub date: 22 August 2008     Quarterly
Economy Stabilising, But Major Challenges Remain We are now seeing our anticipation of a stabilisation of economic conditions playing out as Vietnam retreats from the brink of a balance of payments crisis. Government measures to boost exports and curb imports have prompted a drama...
About Us | Contact us | Careers | Privacy Policy | Terms & Conditions