Political Risk

As 'six-way talks' over North Korea's nuclear programme drew to a close in Beijing on February 12, a general consensus has emerged that the dispute has come closer to resolution than... 2007-02-12

BMI View: The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) will hold its 17th five-yearly party congress in the second half of this year, which will effectively determine the leadership and direction... 2007-02-06

BMI View: While President Roh Moo-hyun will remain a lame duck in the run up to the December 2007 elections which will decide his successor, it is looking increasingly unlikely that... 2006-12-18

BMI View: While full democracy remains a somewhat distant prospect in Hong Kong, the likelihood that the March 2007 chief executive elections will be contested by the pro-democracy... 2006-12-14

BMI View: Chinese President Hu Jintao visited Pakistan in late November, and held meetings with Pakistan's President Pervez Musharraf and Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz. The visit saw... 2006-11-29

BMI View: While President Chen has survived yet another attempt to remove him from office, in line with our expectations, we continue to believe that this does not signify an end... 2006-11-27

BMI View: Recent months have seen several failed attempts by the political opposition to remove President Chen Shui-bian from office. Nevertheless, the administration remains tainted... 2006-11-06

Pyongyang's willingness to restart six-party talks signifies a marked reduction in the short-term political risk calculus. Specifically, the North Korean decision virtually precludes... 2006-11-01

BMI View: Following years of mutual admiration between the People's Republic and newly independent African states, China and Africa are establishing a new type of strategic partnership,... 2006-10-10

BMI View: While we neither expect the new recall against President Chen Chui-bian to succeed, nor do we anticipate fundamental change in the cross-Strait status quo before his departure... 2006-10-05