Political Risk

BMI View: While Pakistan's military offensive in South Waziristan has progressed well, we believe that any headway made against the Taliban will be short-lived. Indeed, in the near-term... 2009-11-24

BMI View: Pakistan is at risk of experiencing years of instability and militant activity, but an outright collapse of the state is unlikely unless the core province of Punjab becomes... 2009-10-27

In a controversy that has the potential to undermine Bangladesh's stability, Prime Minister Sheik Hasina's government has ordered opposition leader Begum Khaleda Zia to vacate her... 2009-04-29

Following a two-day mutiny on February 25-26 by soldiers in the paramilitary outfit known as the Bangladesh Rifles (BDR), the national army confirmed on March 3 that it had detained... 2009-03-06

BMI View: We maintain our core view that a National Democratic Alliance (NDA) minority government led by the conservative Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) will gain power in the upcoming... 2009-01-08

BMI View: Bangladesh's political scene looks set to come full circle following the December 29 2008 general elections, with either the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) or Awami... 2008-12-02

The ongoing terrorist attack in Mumbai constitutes one of the most brazen and lethal attacks in the past decade and as such merits a reassessment of political risk in India. We have... 2008-11-27

Although Iraq certainly remains a dangerous place and recent security gains have the potential to be reversed, we are fairly sanguine that the horrific inter-ethnic violence, which... 2008-11-14

BMI View: With government forces closing in on the Tamil Tigers' headquarters in Kilinochchi, the conventional phase of the civil war could soon be over. However, the rebels still... 2008-10-01

BMI View: General elections are due in December 2008, but the probable outcome is still unclear, and we do not preclude political unrest before and after the poll. Question marks... 2008-09-08