Political Risk

BMI View: With the reputations of both the main opposition party and the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) now tainted by corruption scandals, along with the DPP's better... 2007-03-09

Half of voters are expecting a break-up of South Korea's main opposition Grand National Party (GNP) before the presidential elections on December 19 as competition for the party ticket... 2007-02-21

Following a final day of extended 'six-way talks' in Beijing, the US has apparently reached an agreement with North Korea to secure the latter's denuclearisation. Pyongyang's acceptance... 2007-02-13

As 'six-way talks' over North Korea's nuclear programme drew to a close in Beijing on February 12, a general consensus has emerged that the dispute has come closer to resolution than... 2007-02-12

BMI View: The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) will hold its 17th five-yearly party congress in the second half of this year, which will effectively determine the leadership and direction... 2007-02-06

BMI View: While President Roh Moo-hyun will remain a lame duck in the run up to the December 2007 elections which will decide his successor, it is looking increasingly unlikely that... 2006-12-18

BMI View: While full democracy remains a somewhat distant prospect in Hong Kong, the likelihood that the March 2007 chief executive elections will be contested by the pro-democracy... 2006-12-14

BMI View: While President Chen has survived yet another attempt to remove him from office, in line with our expectations, we continue to believe that this does not signify an end... 2006-11-27

BMI View: Recent months have seen several failed attempts by the political opposition to remove President Chen Shui-bian from office. Nevertheless, the administration remains tainted... 2006-11-06

Pyongyang's willingness to restart six-party talks signifies a marked reduction in the short-term political risk calculus. Specifically, the North Korean decision virtually precludes... 2006-11-01