Political Risk

BMI View: North Korean leader Kim Jong Il's visit to Russia in late August 2011 is aimed at reducing his country's dependency on China and decreasing Pyongyang's isolation on the... 2011-08-25

BMI View: Several important political and economic developments are taking place, as North Korea prepares to celebrate the 100th anniversary of the birth of its founder, Kim Il Sung,... 2011-07-29

The structure of China's growth model may be undermining social stability, and similarities with the 'Arab spring' have led to concerns over more widespread and organised protests against... 2011-07-13

BMI View: A major breakthrough in inter-Korean relations is unlikely before South Korean President Lee Myung-bak leaves office in February 2013. The North is most likely hoping for... 2011-07-01

BMI View: North Korean leader Kim Jong Il's visit to China in May underscored the close ties between the two countries, suggesting that Pyongyang will not be isolated in international... 2011-05-31

BMI View: Although North Korean heir-apparent Kim Jong Un failed to receive a new post in April, we believe his support base should be reinforced by a group of relatively younger... 2011-05-06

BMI View: Rather than see an Egyptian-style popular uprising, it is more likely that North Korea could eventually face a regional rebellion, taking it to the brink of civil war. Regardless,... 2011-03-24

BMI View: North Korea is likely to carry out more provocations in the region over the coming months, as the regime moves to shore up heir apparent Kim Jong Un's political position.... 2011-03-04

BMI View: Egypt's sudden upsurge in political unrest has served as a major warning to authoritarian leaders around the world that even solid regimes can come a cropper. While there... 2011-02-03

BMI View: North Korea's top priority in 2011 will be to ensure that the conditions are in place for a smooth transfer of power from Kim Jong Il to his son Kim Jong Un, which will... 2011-01-06