South Asia
The South Asia Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka.
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Pakistan / Economy
Pakistani government expenditure continued to outstrip revenue is the first six months of FY2010 (July-June). Expenditure between July and December came in at PKR1313.2bn as compared to revenue of PKR909.9bn, resulting in a PKR403.3bn deficit (up from PKR217.5bn in the same period of FY2009). Interest payments and defence spending remained significant outlays at PKR294.1bn and...
2010-03-04India / Economy
Despite the fanfare which preceded the FY2010/11 (April-March) budget delivery in February, the government's actual fiscal deficit projections are little changed (with the central...
2010-03-03Sri Lanka / Economy
The opposition Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna and the United National Party have decided to contest the April 8 parliamentary elections independently after their joint candidate Sarath...
2010-03-03Country Risk Rating
Pakistan
Pakistani government expenditure continued to outstrip revenue is the first six months of FY2010 (July-June). Expenditure between July and December came in at PKR1313.2bn as compared...
2010-03-04Sri Lanka
The opposition Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna and the United National Party have decided to contest the April 8 parliamentary elections independently after their joint candidate Sarath...
2010-03-03Bangladesh
Sajeeb Wajed Joy, the son of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina Wajed, has joined the ruling Awami League during a visit to Bangladesh from his domicile in the US, sparking anticipation...
2010-03-03Sri Lanka
We maintain our real GDP growth forecast of 5.4% in 2010 after an estimated 3.3% economic expansion in 2009 on the back of expectations of higher government and private consumption....
2010-03-03India
Despite the fanfare which preceded the FY2010/11 (April-March) budget delivery in February, the government's actual fiscal deficit projections are little changed (with the central...
2010-03-03Pakistan
Pakistan's current account deficit widened in December, to US$391mn from US$283mn in November. A key risk for the current account that we have previously highlighted is the potential...
2010-02-04Bangladesh
We maintain our 5.5% real GDP growth forecast for FY2009/10 (July-June) as the export-focused manufacturing sector has lost steam and agricultural growth is depressed by a high...
2010-02-03Sri Lanka
We have revised up our real GDP growth forecast for 2010 from 4.4% to 5.4% after an estimated 3.3% economic expansion in 2009 on the back of expectations of higher government and...
2010-02-03Afghanistan
BMI View: Although there is a growing consensus that the Taliban must be included in any political settlement for Afghanistan, there are formidable obstacles to achieving this. Moreover,...
2010-02-03Afghanistan
BMI View: 2010 is shaping up to be a decisive year for Afghanistan, with the US troop surge and parliamentary elections taking place in the first six months. We see a high risk that...
2010-01-07India
BMI View: The Indian government's decision to create the new state of Telangana from Andhra Pradesh is a risky move, and is already leading to calls for statehood by other regions....
2009-12-14Sri Lanka
We are still expecting incumbent Mahinda Rajapaksa to win another six-year term in presidential elections to be held before April 2010. However, the candidacy of General Sarath...
2009-11-24




