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 The South Asia Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka.

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Latest Stories

Pakistan / Economy

Pakistani government expenditure continued to outstrip revenue is the first six months of FY2010 (July-June). Expenditure between July and December came in at PKR1313.2bn as compared to revenue of PKR909.9bn, resulting in a PKR403.3bn deficit (up from PKR217.5bn in the same period of FY2009). Interest payments and defence spending remained significant outlays at PKR294.1bn and... 2010-03-04


India / Economy

Despite the fanfare which preceded the FY2010/11 (April-March) budget delivery in February, the government's actual fiscal deficit projections are little changed (with the central... 2010-03-03


Sri Lanka / Economy

The opposition Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna and the United National Party have decided to contest the April 8 parliamentary elections independently after their joint candidate Sarath... 2010-03-03


Country Risk Rating

Pakistan

Pakistani government expenditure continued to outstrip revenue is the first six months of FY2010 (July-June). Expenditure between July and December came in at PKR1313.2bn as compared... 2010-03-04


Sri Lanka

The opposition Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna and the United National Party have decided to contest the April 8 parliamentary elections independently after their joint candidate Sarath... 2010-03-03


Bangladesh

Sajeeb Wajed Joy, the son of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina Wajed, has joined the ruling Awami League during a visit to Bangladesh from his domicile in the US, sparking anticipation... 2010-03-03


Sri Lanka

We maintain our real GDP growth forecast of 5.4% in 2010 after an estimated 3.3% economic expansion in 2009 on the back of expectations of higher government and private consumption.... 2010-03-03

Economy

India

Despite the fanfare which preceded the FY2010/11 (April-March) budget delivery in February, the government's actual fiscal deficit projections are little changed (with the central... 2010-03-03


Pakistan

Pakistan's current account deficit widened in December, to US$391mn from US$283mn in November. A key risk for the current account that we have previously highlighted is the potential... 2010-02-04


Bangladesh

We maintain our 5.5% real GDP growth forecast for FY2009/10 (July-June) as the export-focused manufacturing sector has lost steam and agricultural growth is depressed by a high... 2010-02-03


Sri Lanka

We have revised up our real GDP growth forecast for 2010 from 4.4% to 5.4% after an estimated 3.3% economic expansion in 2009 on the back of expectations of higher government and... 2010-02-03

Political Risk

Afghanistan

BMI View: Although there is a growing consensus that the Taliban must be included in any political settlement for Afghanistan, there are formidable obstacles to achieving this. Moreover,... 2010-02-03


Afghanistan

BMI View: 2010 is shaping up to be a decisive year for Afghanistan, with the US troop surge and parliamentary elections taking place in the first six months. We see a high risk that... 2010-01-07


India

BMI View: The Indian government's decision to create the new state of Telangana from Andhra Pradesh is a risky move, and is already leading to calls for statehood by other regions.... 2009-12-14


Sri Lanka

We are still expecting incumbent Mahinda Rajapaksa to win another six-year term in presidential elections to be held before April 2010. However, the candidacy of General Sarath... 2009-11-24

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