North Korea

BMI View: Despite reports that North Korean leader Kim Jong Il suffered a stroke in August, there have been no signs of unusual developments to indicate instability. In the event... 2008-10-03

BMI View: As North Korea marks the 60th anniversary of its establishment on September 9 2008, we outline five scenarios for political change.

BMI View: North Korea is expected to convene its Supreme People's Assembly (SPA) in September, and this is likely to be accompanied by a reshuffle of senior officials. This in turn... 2008-08-01

BMI View: North Korea does not publish any economic data, since it regards this as a state secret. Thus, the only reliable estimates are provided by the South's central bank (Bank... 2008-07-01

BMI View: Pyongyang's long-awaited nuclear declaration, submitted on June 26, effectively lets the regime off the hook on a number of sensitive issues. Most significantly, North Korea... 2008-06-27

BMI View: Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping's forthcoming visit to North Korea will be aimed at shoring up bilateral relations, as Beijing prepares to hold a new round of 'six-way... 2008-06-10

BMI View: North Korea's submission of 18,000 pages of documents detailing its nuclear programme to the US should relieve external pressure on Kim Jong Il's regime in the near term.... 2008-05-12

BMI View: Asian governments have good reasons to fear Kosovo's recent secession from Serbia. Virtually every Asian country has a territory or ethnic minority that has sought or is... 2008-03-10

BMI View: North Korea's short-term political risk rating is stable at 79.0, reflecting our expectations of regime and policy continuity going forward. Our long-term political risk... 2008-03-06

BMI View: North Korea's failure to make a full disclosure of its nuclear programmes has reinforced our scepticism towards Pyongyang's official commitment to abandon its nuclear weapons.... 2008-02-07