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The China & North East Asia Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for China, Hong Kong, North Korea, South Korea and Taiwan.  This includes online access to the latest analysis, a 24-month searchable archive, and PDF access to the monthly Monitor reports.

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Latest Stories

North Korea / Economy

BMI View: North Korea's submission of 18,000 pages of documents detailing its nuclear programme to the US should relieve external pressure on Kim Jong Il's regime in the near term. However, it is as yet unclear whether the documents cover Pyongyang's covert uranium enrichment programme, and we continue to have doubts that the regime will ever give up its nuclear weapons.

2008-05-12

South Korea / Economy

Tensions on the Korean peninsula have risen in the past month as Pyongyang tested short-range missiles and expelled South Koreans from the inter-Korean business zone in Kaesong. We... 2008-04-11


Economy

Vice president-elect Vincent Siew travelled to the Chinese island of Hainan on April 11 to attend a business forum, in what will be an initial gauge for the prospects of a rapprochement... 2008-04-11


Business & Industry

South Korea

Two recent developments have put South Korea's business environment in the spotlight. Firstly, the National Assembly has revised its tax law to close a loophole that has allowed foreign... 2006-05-16


Hong Kong

Hong Kong's pro-democracy legislators have welcome a rare invitation from the Chinese government to visit the mainland. BMI View: The decision is being seen as a sign that Beijing... 2005-09-06


China

Chinese textile exports to the US have boomed since the expiry of textile quotas at the end of last year. BMI View: This has lead to growing pressure from the manufacturing groups... 2005-03-16


China

Chinese textile exports to the US have boomed since the expiry of textile quotas at the end of last year. BMI View: This has lead to growing pressure from the manufacturing groups... 2005-03-16

Country Risk Rating

South Korea

Tensions on the Korean peninsula have risen in the past month as Pyongyang tested short-range missiles and expelled South Koreans from the inter-Korean business zone in Kaesong. We... 2008-04-11


Vice president-elect Vincent Siew travelled to the Chinese island of Hainan on April 11 to attend a business forum, in what will be an initial gauge for the prospects of a rapprochement... 2008-04-11


Thailand

Government and industry officials reaffirmed the 8.75-9.00 mn tonnes export target on April 5, thus shedding fears among rice importers that Bangkok would follow the lead of Egypt,... 2008-04-11


China

The signing of a free trade agreement (FTA) with New Zealand has become the first such trade treaty between China and a developed economy. Under the terms of the deal, New Zealand... 2008-04-10

Economy

South Korea

BMI View GDP growth in 2007 came in at 4.9%, slightly below our 5.0% forecast. We maintain our 5.1% forecast for 2008, but acknowledge considerable downside risks as South Korean... 2008-04-11


China

China's business climate index fell sharply in Q108 'due to the impact of the sudden weather storms and the global economic slowdown', according to the National Bureau of Statistics.... 2008-04-10


Hong Kong

Despite exports rising by a faster-than-expected 7.6% y-o-y in February, the outlook for Hong Kong's merchandise trade remains increasingly uncertain, as weakness across the territory's... 2008-04-10


China

We are forecasting the yuan to rise by 9.0% against the dollar in 2008, but building domestic imbalances - largely as a result of the country's undervalued currency - have prompted... 2008-03-25

Political Risk

North Korea

BMI View: North Korea's submission of 18,000 pages of documents detailing its nuclear programme to the US should relieve external pressure on Kim Jong Il's regime in the near term.... 2008-05-12


South Korea

BMI View: We believe the parliamentary elections on April 9 accorded President Lee Myung-bak with a firm mandate to pursue economic reform. Lee's most ambitious expenditure plans... 2008-04-10


South Korea

BMI View: We believe the parliamentary elections on April 9 accorded President Lee Myung-bak with a firm mandate to pursue economic reform. Lee's most ambitious expenditure plans... 2008-04-10


BMI View: We see a marked improvement in cross-Strait relations and Taiwan's business environment going forward as the next president is likely to scale back regulatory restrictions... 2008-03-06

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