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China & North East Asia

The China & North East Asia Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for China, Hong Kong, North Korea, South Korea and Taiwan.

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Latest Stories

South Korea / Economy

The ruling Grand National Party (GNP) has renamed itself the Saenuri Party in a bid to improve its election fortunes ahead of legislative elections in April. Following the emergence of a number of scandals, the party's recent defeat in Seoul's mayoral elections and a widening wealth disparity in the country, public confidence in the Saenuri Party has been waning. While the party... 2012-02-03


Hong Kong / Economy

The recent uptick in Hong Kong's Q411 real GDP growth is likely to reverse in the first half of 2012. Weakening external demand conditions should see Hong Kong's exports take a hit.... 2012-02-02


North Korea / Economy

BMI View: North Korean leader Kim Jong Un's exiled elder half-brother Kim Jong Nam has made comments highly critical of the younger Kim and the system over which he presides. This... 2012-01-24


Country Risk Rating

South Korea

The ruling Grand National Party (GNP) has renamed itself the Saenuri Party in a bid to improve its election fortunes ahead of legislative elections in April. Following the emergence... 2012-02-03


South Korea

Stability on the Korean Peninsula has been called into question following the death of North Korea's dictator Kim Jong Il. Although his son Kim Jong Un appears to be taking over, the... 2012-01-06


Taiwan

Incumbent president Ma Ying-jeou of the Kuomintang heads into the final election days with a considerable lead over main opposition Democratic People's Party Tsai Ing-wen in the final... 2012-01-06


South Korea

Independent candidate Park Won-soon won Seoul's mayoral election, striking a hard blow to the ruling Grand National Party (GNP) ahead of parliamentary elections in early 2012. Seoul's... 2011-10-28

Economy

Hong Kong

The recent uptick in Hong Kong's Q411 real GDP growth is likely to reverse in the first half of 2012. Weakening external demand conditions should see Hong Kong's exports take a hit.... 2012-02-02


China

We expect to see all measures of Chinese inflation receed in 2012, continuing the trend exhibited in H211. This should allow the People's Bank of China (PBoC) to cut interest rates... 2012-01-05


China

We have long-warned that expectations of yuan appreciation are not fundamentally supported, and back in October, we called for the yuan to be re-pegged to the US dollar as the economy... 2011-12-14


Taiwan

Taiwan's industrial and trade activity exhibits clear signs of slowing. Industrial production and exports are unlikely to hold up in the coming quarters as a retardation in global economic... 2011-09-28

Political Risk

North Korea

BMI View: North Korean leader Kim Jong Un's exiled elder half-brother Kim Jong Nam has made comments highly critical of the younger Kim and the system over which he presides. This... 2012-01-24


North Korea

BMI View: Kim Jong Un's appointment as Supreme Commander of the North Korean People's Army (KPA) confirms that he is on track to succeed his late father Kim Jong Il in other formal... 2012-01-03


China

Anecdotal evidence suggests there is a growing tendency among China's elite to shift their assets overseas as the economy faces the potential for a recession and political tensions... 2011-12-20


North Korea

BMI View: 2012 looks set to be a busy year for the Korean Peninsula, owing to several major politically significant anniversaries in the North, elections in the South and the US,... 2011-11-22

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