Analysis, data & forecasts on every country across the region

Economy / China

More Disinflation To Trigger Rate Cuts In 2012

January 2012 | Economic Analysis

We expect to see all measures of Chinese inflation receed in 2012, continuing the trend exhibited in H211. This should allow the People's Bank of China (PBoC) to cut interest rates twice, most likely in H112. We see CPI averaging 3.2% in 2012, from 5.5% in 2011, with outright deflation a serious possibility.

To read the full article, please choose one of the following options:

Subcribers please log in

Related Monitor Articles
Organised Crime Poses Major Challenge

Economy / China Organised crime is posing a growing challenge for the Chinese government. Gangsterism is becoming increasingly rife, and criminal groups are said to be spreading their influence into municipal and provincial...
February 2010
Macroeconomic Forecast China

Economy / China China's real GDP growth came in at 10.7% y-o-y in Q409, the fastest pace since Q407, as fixed investment continued to boom and consumer spending growth accelerated. These factors made up for the negative...
February 2010
Addressing The Savings Imbalance

Economy / China While we are pencilling in gradual appreciation of the Chinese yuan over the coming years, there is a growing risk that the authorities could choose to keep the exchange rate fixed, which would see rising...
January 2010
Red Hot Expansion Set To Cool

Economy / China Despite China's stronger-than-expected 2009 real GDP growth figure of 8.7%, and the breakneck 10.7% y-o-y Q409 outturn, we continue to see a slowdown in H210 as the heavy engineering and property sectors...
January 2010
Export Dominance To Continue

Economy / China China's share of global exports continues to increase, with the country recently taking over from Germany as the world's largest exporter. We expect this dominance to continue in 2010, which could raise...
January 2010
China & North East Asia MonitorChina & North East Asia Channels China & North East Asia Countries


All material on this site is protected by international copyright laws and use of this site is subject to our Terms & Conditions.
© 2012 Business Monitor International Ltd
Site powered by WORKSsitebuilder CMS