Australasia & South Pacific

Monthly political risk, economic forecasts and business environment analysis on each country market

Latest Australasia & South Pacific Analysis

Political Risk Analysis - General Elections To Dominate Political Landscape In 2018 - MAR 2018

Fiji is set to hold general elections in 2018, marking the second time the island-nation has held polls since its return to democracy in 2014. We thus expect the political landscape to be dominated by the run up to the polls and believe that while the ruling FijiFirst party is well-positioned to win, the labour strikes could weaken its position in favour of the opposition. We are thus downgradi...

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Political Risk Analysis - Aid Flows Unlikely To Be Affected By Refugee Issue - JAN 2018

The closure of the Manus Island detention centre has negatively affected Australia-PNG bilateral relations as neither side wishes to take responsibility for the refugees, and we believe that a resolution is unlikely over the near-term. At the same time, many of the asylum seekers have refused to be resettled in PNG for fear of their own safety. That said, we do not expect the ongoing situation...

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